The Great Rupture: Three Empires, Four Turning Points, and the Future of Humanity
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- Type：Epub+TxT+PDF+Mobi
- Create Date：2021-07-13 09:53:43
- Update Date：2025-09-06
- Status：finish
- Author：Viktor Shvets
- ISBN：163337386X
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Reviews
Daniel Arges
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A must read。 Viktor Shvets is the Harari of Economics， with a huge World History background。
Andrew Harvey
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This is a must read book for anyone serious about their future looking point-of-view。 The research and sources are impeccable。 The Great Rupture was not an easy read mostly because I needed to stop and thinking about every few paragraphs。 To say that Shvets' book is thought provoking fails to express the importance of the thoughts it provokes。 I like Shvets' style of leading me to conclusions rather than the more typical approach of defending conclusions。 I don't necessarily agree with many of h This is a must read book for anyone serious about their future looking point-of-view。 The research and sources are impeccable。 The Great Rupture was not an easy read mostly because I needed to stop and thinking about every few paragraphs。 To say that Shvets' book is thought provoking fails to express the importance of the thoughts it provokes。 I like Shvets' style of leading me to conclusions rather than the more typical approach of defending conclusions。 I don't necessarily agree with many of his conclusions but that doesn't diminish its importance。 。。。more
Kerry
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It took me a long time to read this but I'm glad I stuck it out。 The last section was clearly the most fascinating。 His views on history were interesting but his thoughts on the future were riveting。 I couldn't pit it down at the end。 This was a borrowed copy so I have ordered my own so I can go back over the last sections and annotate them。 I will use some of these sections as readings for my Theory of Knowledge classes at school。 Excellent read！ It took me a long time to read this but I'm glad I stuck it out。 The last section was clearly the most fascinating。 His views on history were interesting but his thoughts on the future were riveting。 I couldn't pit it down at the end。 This was a borrowed copy so I have ordered my own so I can go back over the last sections and annotate them。 I will use some of these sections as readings for my Theory of Knowledge classes at school。 Excellent read！ 。。。more
Rob Hamer
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Differentiated insights on the Ottoman ， Chinese and Russian empires。 Clever analysis of the twin forces of financialisation and technology that have conspired to get us to where we find ourselves in 2021。 The book is well worth reading for just these two sets of analysis 。 I wasn’t convinced there was a compelling logic in linking them and one certainly hopes the future turns out better than he fears 。 But none of this mars an incredibly thought provoking read
Ramon
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An eye-opening and entertaining book！ This is arguably my favorite topic —a mix of technology， societies， and macroeconomics—， so you might expect some bias in the review。 Viktor starts by giving you some amazing historical arguments as to why civilizations prospered or failed —he focuses on the Ottomans， the Chinese， and the Russians—， and while doing so he presents three turning points —the Black Death， the Mongols， and the Renaissance— that made the West the winner of them all。 After this ama An eye-opening and entertaining book！ This is arguably my favorite topic —a mix of technology， societies， and macroeconomics—， so you might expect some bias in the review。 Viktor starts by giving you some amazing historical arguments as to why civilizations prospered or failed —he focuses on the Ottomans， the Chinese， and the Russians—， and while doing so he presents three turning points —the Black Death， the Mongols， and the Renaissance— that made the West the winner of them all。 After this amazing and enjoyable detour， he takes you to the present and explains what changes society will face —the biggest one being the massive unemployment we’re about to experience— and proposes some solutions to the problem。 In a more personal note the book is full of references to other books I’ve read， this made it very enjoyable， and the arguments are presented in a very concise and racional way。 The main question that Viktor tries to answer through all this is if we need freedom， as we did in the past， to prosper as a civilization。 。。。more
Stefano Quadrio
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This is a very important book。 Written before Trump's trade wars， the global virus outbreak， and teh technological decoupling between the big blocks， it already pointed the way to a future that was less liberal than what most readers would have imagined possible。 The speed of the transformation into an "illiberal world order" may have seemed impossible， yet it is occurring smoothly and broadly without much opposition。 While the author's own life experience places him in an ideal position to look This is a very important book。 Written before Trump's trade wars， the global virus outbreak， and teh technological decoupling between the big blocks， it already pointed the way to a future that was less liberal than what most readers would have imagined possible。 The speed of the transformation into an "illiberal world order" may have seemed impossible， yet it is occurring smoothly and broadly without much opposition。 While the author's own life experience places him in an ideal position to look from great heights at these momentous transformations， it still takes courage to commit to print such bold thesis that seemed at the time so implausible。 If anything merits criticism is that this book is actually 3-in-1。 Each of the author's analyses of the past， the present and the future merits to be expanded into a book of its own。 But that I hope is something we can look forward to in the years ahead。 Many thanks for such a fine read！！ Stefano QC 。。。more
Susan Brunner
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This book’s full title is The Great Rupture: Three Empires， Four Turning Points， and the Future of Humanity。 Do we need to be Free？ He has a web site here that you can explore。 You can explore the major themes of the book。 If you find this interesting， you might want to get the book to read。 The site Book Authority list this book as one of the 16 Best New Economic Development Books To Read In 2021。 The site The Capital Spectator features this book and other economic books。 This book is rather d This book’s full title is The Great Rupture: Three Empires， Four Turning Points， and the Future of Humanity。 Do we need to be Free？ He has a web site here that you can explore。 You can explore the major themes of the book。 If you find this interesting， you might want to get the book to read。 The site Book Authority list this book as one of the 16 Best New Economic Development Books To Read In 2021。 The site The Capital Spectator features this book and other economic books。 This book is rather depressing in the end as he thinks that we do not need to be free。 The West will end up like China。 1984 here we come。 We here in Canada， the US and EU all seem to be going left and socialist。 However， Margaret Thatcher was right。 Socialism only last as long as there is other people’s money to spend。 Politian’s are all talking about taxing the rich to pay for all our desires。 This will end badly。 Only the Nordic counties have a form of socialism that works。 But everyone pays a large part of their earnings。 The Nordics are also quite capitalistic。 They have little in the way of corruption。 On the other hand， Canada， US， and EU are filled with extractive elites。 We also have huge tech companies that are sucking every last bit of data they can from us to monetize。He thinks that AI will make it possible to control markets better than a free market system or capitalism。 I worked with computers my whole adult life and any AI so far is just algorithms。 Any AI will take process to a logical conclusion。 AI will never think that just because they can do something should they？ AI with Algorithms will never question their answers as to whether they make any sense。 They could come up with stupid answers and never know that。 Stupid answers are something a human can easily recognize。 At least we are good at that。 However， under communism people would not dare say anything the party thought up was stupid， so we may have that problem with AI。 Sounds like this is what is happening in China currently。Of course， the future is going to be different than the past。 It has always been that way。 I understand where he is going because of the changes our current technology is making in our lives。 However， he paints a very bleak picture of our future and I do not believe that。 However， we should be thinking about the future and how we will handle and adapt to a future of technology that is coming。 Trying to deny new technology has not worked in the past and will not work now。He paints a good picture of the past history and how we ended up where we are。 Why certain countries are ahead。 This will give you a great economic view of why the west is currently ahead。 This book is well worth reading for this coverage of the past。 The future is harder to know。 We are going ahead to a very different future。 He wonders if non-western cultures are better suited to our coming future。 It is an interesting question。 Whatever happens， we are certainly in for turmoil and disruptions with the new technology coming in the future。There is a good review of this book on African Eye Report。 There is a post on this book by John Aidan Byrne on GRIPT。 This includes a review of the book and a podcast interview with Viktor Shvets。 Alan Kohler at Eureka Report interviews Viktor Shvets。 This is a podcast， plus also they show the full podcast in print。 On the John Tread Gold website there is an review of this book and a interview podcast with Viktor Shvets。There is an interview with Viktor Shvets by Gareth Vaughan on Interest。 This is a good interview and Viktor Shvets views of the future is not so bleak。 Viktor Shvets is interviewed on BNN。 This is from August 2019。 Viktor Shvets is part of the Macquarie Group， a Sydney-based investment bank。 He is Managing Director at Macquarie Securities in Hong Kong。 On Hamilton Wealth Partners Viktor Shvets speaks about his book through the Though Leaders Series。 。。。more
Randall Fockens
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I enjoyed this book。 The first half of the book， where Shvets details 3 civilizations and why they fell behind the west， is strong。 He does a great job of summarizing and explaining in this section。The only reason I didn’t give 5 stars is that the last half of the book felt a bit more rushed。 The synthesis of the first half of the book and what that can teach us about how the US will handle the Information Age wasn’t tied together as well as it could have been。Definitely an ambitious work that i I enjoyed this book。 The first half of the book， where Shvets details 3 civilizations and why they fell behind the west， is strong。 He does a great job of summarizing and explaining in this section。The only reason I didn’t give 5 stars is that the last half of the book felt a bit more rushed。 The synthesis of the first half of the book and what that can teach us about how the US will handle the Information Age wasn’t tied together as well as it could have been。Definitely an ambitious work that i learned a lot from。 It fell just a bit short in the final section。 。。。more
Nic
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Insightful analysis！ I've not read a book quite like this one。 Fascinating look at history to help understand where we might be headed。 The fujiwhara （as described by the author） effect really does seem to have the potential to reshape society。。。whether it will be for the better or worse is hard to say。 Insightful analysis！ I've not read a book quite like this one。 Fascinating look at history to help understand where we might be headed。 The fujiwhara （as described by the author） effect really does seem to have the potential to reshape society。。。whether it will be for the better or worse is hard to say。 。。。more
Mogens Rye
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This book - as with most of Victors work， is not only painting a very likely future， but it isvery scary future we are facing。Having read a lot of Victors research， he does come across as the most thoughtful analyst I know，the intelligence in the writings are immense。Being an "old school" classic macro analyst has come well into this play， as Victor understand the ramifications of the technological revolution which is only in its beginning。There is a super-cycle coming， it will impact everyone o This book - as with most of Victors work， is not only painting a very likely future， but it isvery scary future we are facing。Having read a lot of Victors research， he does come across as the most thoughtful analyst I know，the intelligence in the writings are immense。Being an "old school" classic macro analyst has come well into this play， as Victor understand the ramifications of the technological revolution which is only in its beginning。There is a super-cycle coming， it will impact everyone on planet earth， and this book should be mandatory read in any parliament。I will gladly recommend it to anyone interested in what may lie ahead。 。。。more
Michael Michaels
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